{"id":30192,"date":"2023-04-03T08:21:26","date_gmt":"2023-04-02T23:21:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hibulls.com\/?p=30192"},"modified":"2023-04-03T08:21:29","modified_gmt":"2023-04-02T23:21:29","slug":"04-03-%ed%95%98%ec%9d%b4%eb%b6%88%ec%8a%a4-%ed%8e%80%eb%93%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5-%ed%95%9c%ea%b5%ad-3%ec%9b%94-%ec%88%98%ec%b6%9c%ec%9e%85-%eb%8f%99%ed%96%a5-%ed%95%9c%ed%99%94%ec%86%94%eb%a3%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hibulls.com\/?p=30192","title":{"rendered":"[04.03] \ud558\uc774\ubd88\uc2a4 \ud380\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5 : \ud55c\uad6d 3\uc6d4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc785 \ub3d9\ud5a5, \ud55c\ud654\uc194\ub8e8\uc158, \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\uc804\uc77c 3\uc6d4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc785 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c<\/strong>\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\uc6d4\ub3c4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 -46.2\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc801\uc790\ub97c \uae30\ub85d<\/strong>\ud558\uba70, 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \ubb34\uc5ed \uc801\uc790\ub97c \uae30\ub85d<\/strong>\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uac10\uc18c\uc138<\/strong>\uc600\ub294\ub370, \ucd5c\ub300 \uc218\ucd9c \ud488\ubaa9\uc778 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5<\/strong>\uc774 \ucef8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubb34\uc5ed \uc801\uc790 \ud3ed\uc740 1\uc6d4(-127\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec), 2\uc6d4(-53\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4 \uc810\ucc28 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984<\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

15\ub300 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc218\ucd9c \ud488\ubaa9 \uc911\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28(+\uc804\uae30\ucc28), 2\ucc28\uc804\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \uc99d\uac00<\/strong>\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28\uc640 2\ucc28\uc804\uc9c0\ub294 \uc815\ub9d0 \ub300\ub2e8\ud558\ub124\uc694. \uc911\uac04\uc911\uac04 \ubd80\uce68\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \ub2e4\ub984 \ud488\ubaa9\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28\uc640 2\ucc28\uc804\uc9c0\ub294 \uafb8\uc900\ud558\uac8c \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\uc138<\/strong>\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c \ub2ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacc4\uc18d \uc218\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00 \ud488\ubaa9\uc5d0 \uc774\ub984\uc744 \uc62c\ub838\ub358 \uc11d\uc720\uc81c\ud488\uc740 3\uc6d4\uc5d4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\uc544\ub798\ub294 \ud380\ub4dc \ud3b8\uc785 \uc885\ubaa9 \ub610\ub294 \ud6c4\ubcf4 \uc885\ubaa9 \uc6cc\uce58\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc911\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\ucd9c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uac8c \ubd10\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \ubd80\ubd84\uc744 \ubc1c\ub77c\ub0b4\uc5b4 \uc815\ub9ac<\/strong>\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\uccb4 \ub9e4\ucd9c \uc911 \uc218\ucd9c \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac70\ub098, \uc218\ucd9c \ud488\ubaa9\uc774 \ub108\ubb34 \ub2e4\uc591\ud558\uac70\ub098, \uc218\ucd9c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uad00\uacc4\uac00 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544\uc11c \uc218\ucd9c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc885\ubaa9\ub4e4\uc740 \uc81c\uc678<\/strong>\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\ub7a8, \ub0b8\ub4dc \ud50c\ub798\uc2dc, \uc774\ubbf8\uc9c0\uc13c\uc11c => SK\ud558\uc774\ub2c9\uc2a4<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
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\ud3ec\ud1a0\ub808\uc9c0\uc2a4\ud2b8 => \ub3d9\uc9c4\uc384\ubbf8\ucf10<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc790\ub3d9\ucc28(\uc804\uae30\ucc28) => \ud604\ub300\ucc28, \uae30\uc544<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc804\uae30\ucc28\uc6a9 \ub9ac\ud2ac \ubc30\ud130\ub9ac => SK\uc774\ub178\ubca0\uc774\uc158(SK\uc628)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

2\ucc28\uc804\uc9c0 \uc591\uadf9\uc7ac => \uc5d8\uc564\uc5d0\ud504, \uc5d0\ucf54\ud504\ub85c\ube44\uc5e0, \ucf54\uc2a4\ubaa8\uc2e0\uc18c\uc7ac<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
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\uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284\ubc15 => DI\ub3d9\uc77c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\ub77c\uba74 => \uc0bc\uc591\uc2dd\ud488<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\ud0dc\uc591\uad11\uc804\uc9c0 => \ud55c\ud654\uc194\ub8e8\uc158, \ud604\ub300\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc194\ub8e8\uc158<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc790\ub3d9\ucc28(\uc804\uae30\ucc28), 2\ucc28\uc804\uc9c0 \ucabd\uc740 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc138\ubd80 \ud488\ubaa9\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc218\ucd9c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc88b\uac8c \ub098\uc624\ub124\uc694.<\/strong> \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4(D\ub7a8, \ub0b8\ub4dc\ud50c\ub798\uc2dc, \uc774\ubbf8\uc9c0\uc13c\uc11c) \ucabd \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 1\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub755\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/strong> \ucd5c\uadfc \ud380\ub4dc\uc804\ub7b5(https:\/\/hibulls.com\/?p=28898<\/a>)\uc5d0\uc11c 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc801\uc744 \ub9ac\ubdf0\ud574\ub4dc\ub838\ub358 \ud55c\uc194\ucf00\ubbf8\uce7c\uc774 3\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc18c\uc7ac \uc624\ub354\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc5b8\uae09\uc744 \ub4dc\ub838\ub358 \ubc14\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc218\ucd9c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uacc4\uc18d \uac1c\uc120\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubd10\uc57c \ud558\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae30\ud0c0 \ud488\ubaa9\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub77c\uba74\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c \uae08\uc561 \uc99d\uac00\uc138\uac00 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub755\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\uc544\ub798\ub294 \uc804\uc77c \uc885\uac00 \uae30\uc900 \ud558\uc774\ubd88\uc2a4 \ud380\ub4dc \ud604\ud669<\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud55c\ud654\uc194\ub8e8\uc158\uc744 \uc2e0\uaddc\ub85c \ud3b8\uc785\ud588\uace0, \ud3b8\ucd9c \uc885\ubaa9\uc740 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud654\uc194\ub8e8\uc158 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc740 \uc804\uc77c \ud380\ub4dc\uc804\ub7b5(https:\/\/hibulls.com\/?p=30111<\/a>)\uc744 \ucc38\uace0\ud574\uc8fc\uc138\uc694.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n
\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\uc544\ub798\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \ud380\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ud3b8\uc785 \uc911\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc9c0\ub9cc, \u2460\uae30\uc874 \ud3b8\uc785 \uc885\ubaa9 \ud3b8\ucd9c, \u2461\uc8fc\uac00(\uc2dc\uc7a5) \uc870\uc815 \ubc1c\uc0dd, \u2462\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc801\uc808\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218 \uc790\ub9ac \ud3ec\ucc29 \ub4f1\uc758 \uc0ac\uc720 \ubc1c\uc0dd \uc2dc \uc5b8\uc81c\ub4e0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud3b8\uc785 \ud6c4\ubcf4 \uc885\ubaa9 \uc6cc\uce58\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8<\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud55c\ud654\uc194\ub8e8\uc158\uc774 \ud380\ub4dc\ub85c \ud3b8\uc785\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc544\ub798 \ubaa9\ub85d\uc5d0\uc120 \uc81c\uc678\ub418\uc5c8\uace0, \uadf8 \uc678\uc5d4 \uc804\uc77c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud574\ub4dc\ub9b0 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc0ac\ud56d \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

-2\ucc28\uc804\uc9c0 \uc18c\uc7ac\u00b7\ubd80\ud488 : \uc5d0\ucf54\ud504\ub85c\ube44\uc5e0, \ucf54\uc2a4\ubaa8\uc2e0\uc18c\uc7ac, \uc5d4\ucf10, \ud14c\uc774\ud329\uc2a4
-\ud48d\ub825\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 : \uc5d0\uc2a4\ucf00\uc774\uc624\uc158\ud50c\ub79c\ud2b8
-\uae30\ud310 : \uc774\uc218\ud398\ud0c0\uc2dc\uc2a4<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\uc544\ub798\ub294 \uad6d\ub0b4\uc99d\uc2dc \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \ud604\ud669<\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1.\uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \uc808\ub300 \uaddc\ubaa8<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
\u25b2 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0(\ucd5c\uadfc 6\uac1c\uc6d4)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"
\u25b2 \ucf54\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0(\ucd5c\uadfc 6\uac1c\uc6d4)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

2.\uc99d\uc2dc \uc608\ud0c1\uae08 \ub300\ube44 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \uaddc\ubaa8<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
\u25b2 \uc99d\uc2dc \uc608\ud0c1\uae08 \ub300\ube44 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

*03\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uae30\uc900(\uc99d\uc2dc\uc790\uae08 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc9d1\uacc4\ub294 1\uac70\ub798\uc77c lagging\uc774 \uc788\uc74c)
-\uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \uae08\uc561 : 18.58\uc870\uc6d0 (vs \uc804\uc77c 18.55\uc870\uc6d0)
-\uc608\ud0c1\uae08 \ub300\ube44 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \ube44\uc728 : 38.2%<\/strong> (vs \uc804\uc77c 38.4%)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

*\uc791\ub144 8\uc6d4~9\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c\uae4c\uc9c0(9\uc6d4 \uc2e0\uc6a9\ubb3c\ub7c9 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ubc18\ub300\ub9e4\ub9e4 \ubc1c\uc0dd \uc9c1\uc804)
-\uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \uae08\uc561 \ud3c9\uade0\uce58 : 19.2\uc870\uc6d0
-\uc608\ud0c1\uae08 \ub300\ube44 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \ube44\uc728 \ud3c9\uade0\uce58 : 35.6%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

*\uc791\ub144 5\uc6d4~6\uc6d4 \ucd08\uae4c\uc9c0(6\uc6d4 \uc2e0\uc6a9\ubb3c\ub7c9 \ubc18\ub300\ub9e4\ub9e4 \ud3ed\ub77d\uc7a5 \ubc1c\uc0dd \uc9c1\uc804)
-\uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \uae08\uc561 \ud3c9\uade0\uce58 : 21.8\uc870\uc6d0
-\uc608\ud0c1\uae08 \ub300\ube44 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \ube44\uc728 \ud3c9\uade0\uce58 : 36.6%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

*2018~19\ub144(\ucf54\ub85c\ub09819 \ud32c\ub370\ubbf9 \ubc1c\uc0dd \uc774\uc804)
-\uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \uae08\uc561 \ud3c9\uade0\uce58 : 10.4\uc870\uc6d0(2020\ub144 \ucf54\ub85c\ub09819 \ud32c\ub370\ubbf9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc720\uc785\ub41c \uc790\uae08 \uaddc\ubaa8 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 2\ubc30 \uc774\uc0c1 \ucee4\uc84c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \uae08\uc561 \uc808\ub300\uac12\uc744 \ube44\uad50\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ubb34\uc758\ubbf8)
-\uc608\ud0c1\uae08 \ub300\ube44 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \ube44\uc728 \ud3c9\uade0\uce58 : 40.1%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0\uac00 18\uc870\uc6d0\ub300\ub85c \uc9c4\uc785<\/strong>\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc870\uc815\ubc1b\uc73c\uba74 \uc2e0\uc6a9\ubb3c\ub7c9 \ubc18\ub300\ub9e4\ub9e4\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc8fc\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4<\/strong>\uace0 \ub9d0\uc500\ub4dc\ub838\uc5c8\ub294\ub370\uc694. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c 3\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \uc2e0\uc6a9 \ubc18\ub300\ub9e4\ub9e4\ubc1c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae09\ub77d\uc774 \ub098\uc654\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

*3\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uace0\uc810-\uc911\uc21c \uc800\uc810 : \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c -5.24% \/ \ucf54\uc2a4\ub2e5 -7.39%
*3\uc6d4 14\uc77c \uc77c\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218 \ub099\ud3ed : \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c -2.56% \/ \ucf54\uc2a4\ub2e5 -3.91%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ud558\uba74\uc11c 3\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uacbd\ubd80\ud130 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uae09\uc99d<\/strong>\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc800\ud76c\uac00 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0(\ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c+\ucf54\uc2a4\ub2e5 \ud569) 18\uc870\uc6d0\uc744 \ubc18\ub300\ub9e4\ub9e4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uae09\uc99d\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc<\/strong>\ud574\ub4dc\ub838\ub294\ub370\uc694. 3\uc6d4 22\uc77c \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0\uac00 18\uc870\uc6d0\uc744 \uc7ac\ub3cc\ud30c\ud55c \ud6c4 7\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0\uac00 \uc99d\uac00<\/strong>\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
\u25b2 \uc99d\uc2dc \uc790\uae08 \ucd94\uc774 (\ucd5c\uadfc 30\uac70\ub798\uc77c raw data)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\ub09c 3\uc6d4 FOMC \uc774\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074 \uc815\uc810 \ud1b5\uacfc \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \uc0dd\uae30\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc13c\ud2f0\uba58\ud2b8\uac00 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uae34 \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c \uacfc\uc5f4\uc744 \uc2dd\ud788\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\uc815 \uacfc\uc815\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e0\uc6a9 \ubc18\ub300\ub9e4\ub9e4\uac00 \uc8fc\uac00 \ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \uacbd\uc0c1\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uc900 \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\ub300\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/strong> \uc2e0\uc6a9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc720\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud558\uc790\ub294 \uc758\uacac \ub4dc\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc774\uc0c1\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac10\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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