{"id":88159,"date":"2026-10-23T08:47:33","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T23:47:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hibulls.com\/?p=88159"},"modified":"2026-10-23T08:47:33","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T23:47:33","slug":"10-23-%ed%88%ac%eb%bf%941-%ec%b6%94%ec%b2%9c%ec%a3%bc-%eb%82%a0%ec%94%a8%ea%b0%80-%ec%8c%80%ec%8c%80%c2%b7%ea%b1%b4%ec%a1%b0%ed%95%b4%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b4-%ec%83%9d%ea%b0%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hibulls.com\/?p=88159","title":{"rendered":"[10.23]\u00a0\ud22c\ubfd4(1++)\u00a0\ucd94\ucc9c\uc8fc\u00a0: \ub0a0\uc528\uac00 \uc300\uc300\u00b7\uac74\uc870\ud574\uc9c0\uba74 \uc0dd\uac01\ub098\ub294 \ubcf4\uc2b5\uc81c \ucd5c\uac15 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

(\uc774\ubbf8\uc9c0 \ub0b4 \uae00\uc790\uac00 \uc798 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74 \uc6f9\ube0c\ub77c\uc6b0\uc800, \ud734\ub300\ud3f0 \ud654\uba74\uc744 ‘\uac00\ub85c\ud654\uba74’\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc2dc\uac70\ub098, \uc774\ubbf8\uc9c0\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uba74 \ud655\ub300\ud574\uc11c \ubcf4\uc2e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(\ucd94\ucc9c\uc8fc\ub294 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud574\ub4dc\ub9b0 \ucd94\ucc9c\uac00 \uc774\ud558 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd84\ud560 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uad8c\uc7a5 \ub4dc\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub9e4\uc218 \ube44\uc911\uc740 \uac1c\uac1c\uc778\uc758 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\uc2dc\uba74 \ub418\ub294\ub370, 1\uac1c \uc885\ubaa9\uc5d0 \ube44\uc911\uc744 70% \uc774\uc0c1 \uac00\uc838\uac00\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ucd94\ucc9c \ub4dc\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2460 \ubc24\uc0c8 \uae01\ub294 \uc544\uc774\ub97c \ubcf8 \ubd80\ubaa8\ub77c\uba74<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc544\uc774 \ud53c\ubd80\uac00 \uac74\uc870\ud574\uc11c \ubc24\uc0c8 \uae01\ub294 \uac78 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf8 \ubd80\ubaa8\ub77c\uba74, \ubcf4\uc2b5\uc81c \ud558\ub098 \uace0\ub974\ub294 \ub370\ub3c4 \uba87 \ubc88\uc529 \ud6c4\uae30\ub97c \ucc3e\uc544\ubcf4\uc168\uc744 \uac81\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\uadf8\ub807\uac8c \uace0\ub978 \uc5c4\ub9c8\ub4e4\uc774 20\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 1\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uaf3d\uc740 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbfc\uac10\uc131 \uc2a4\ud0a8\ucf00\uc5b4 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\ud30c\uc6cc 20\ub144 \uc5f0\uc18d 1\uc704, \uc544\ud1a0\ud31c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\uc544\ud1a0\ud31c\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ud68c\uc0ac\uac00 \ub124\uc624\ud31c(092730)\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\uac74\uac15\ud55c \ud53c\ubd80\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c8 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \ub2ee\uc740 \ub3c5\uc790 \uc81c\ud615 MLE\ub85c \ud53c\ubd80 \uc7a5\ubcbd \ud654\uc7a5\ud488\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0, \uc81c\ub85c\uc774\ub4dc, \ub9ac\uc5bc\ubca0\ub9ac\uc5b4, \ub354\ub9c8\ube44\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc6b4\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2461 \ub354\ub9c8\uac00 \ubcd1\uc6d0 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2020\ub144\ubd80\ud130 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574\uae4c\uc9c0 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc2a4\ud0a8\ucf00\uc5b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0 2.1% \ud074 \ub54c, \ub354\ub9c8 \ud654\uc7a5\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0 15.7%\uc529 \ucee4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\uc62c\ub9ac\ube0c\uc601\uc740 \ub354\ub9c8 \uc804\uc6a9 \ub9e4\uc7a5\uc744 650\uacf3\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub298\ub838\uace0, \uc774 \ub9e4\uc7a5 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc758 \uc57d 70%\uac00 \uc678\uad6d\uc778 \uad00\uad11\uac1d\uc5d0\uac8c\uc11c \ub098\uc635\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\uadf8\ub7ec\uc790 \uc81c\uc57d\uc0ac\uc640 \uc720\ud1b5\uc0ac\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5b4 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc774 \uce58\uc5f4\ud574\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\uacb0\uad6d \uc624\ub798 \uac80\uc99d\ub41c \uae30\uc220\ub85c \uc0c8 \ucc44\ub110\uacfc \ud574\uc678\ub97c \ub204\uac00 \uba3c\uc800 \uc7a1\ub290\ub0d0\uac00 \uad00\uac74\uc774 \ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2462 \ub124\uc624\ud31c\uc774 \ub0b4\ub193\uc740 \ub2f5<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\ubd84\uae30 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc740 436\uc5b5\uc6d0\uc73c\ub85c 36.2% \ub298\uc5b4 \ubd84\uae30 \ucd5c\ub300\uc600\uace0, \uc601\uc5c5\uc774\uc775\uc740 98\uc5b5\uc6d0\uc73c\ub85c 39.6% \ub298\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\uac00\uc7a5 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud070 \uac74 \uc218\ucd9c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 50% \ub298\uc5c8\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d\ub9cc \ubcf4\uba74 65.1% \ub298\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
6\uc6d4 \uc544\ub9c8\uc874 \ud504\ub77c\uc784\ub370\uc774 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc740 126% \ub298\uc5c8\ub294\ub370, \uadf8\uc911 60% \uc774\uc0c1\uc774 \uc544\ud1a0\ud31c\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\uad6d\ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc81c\ub85c\uc774\ub4dc\uc758 \uc62c\ub9ac\ube0c\uc601 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc774 \uc57d 140%, \ub9ac\uc5bc\ubca0\ub9ac\uc5b4\uc758 \ub2e4\uc774\uc18c \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc774 160% \ub298\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\ud53c\ub378\ub9ac\ud2f0\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 2\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 6\uc6d4 \uc0ac\uc774 \uc9c0\ubd84\uc744 5%\uc5d0\uc11c 9.4%\ub85c \ub298\ub838\uace0, \ud765\uad6d\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc8fc\uac00 31,000\uc6d0\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2463 \uc9da\uc5b4 \ubcfc \uc810<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub9c8\ucf00\ud305\ube44 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc791\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc5f4\ub9b0 \ud504\ub77c\uc784\ub370\uc774\uac00 \uc62c\ud574\ub294 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc5f4\ub824, 3\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ube44\uad50 \ubd80\ub2f4\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\uacb0\uad6d 3\ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc801\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\ucd9c \uc131\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294\uc9c0, \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \ub9c8\ucf00\ud305\ube44\ub97c \uac10\ub2f9\ud558\ub294\uc9c0\uac00 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud655\uc778 \uc9c0\uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ub354 \uc790\uc138\ud55c \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc740 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \ucca8\ubd80\ub41c \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uacc4\ud68d \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub97c \ucc38\uace0\ud574\uc8fc\uc138\uc694!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(\uc774\ubbf8\uc9c0 \ub0b4 \uae00\uc790\uac00 \uc798 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74 \uc6f9\ube0c\ub77c\uc6b0\uc800, \ud734\ub300\ud3f0 \ud654\uba74\uc744 ‘\uac00\ub85c\ud654\uba74’\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc2dc\uac70\ub098, \uc774\ubbf8\uc9c0\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uba74 \ud655\ub300\ud574\uc11c \ubcf4\uc2e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.) 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