{"id":8918,"date":"2022-06-16T08:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-06-15T23:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hibulls.com\/?p=8918"},"modified":"2022-06-16T08:04:45","modified_gmt":"2022-06-15T23:04:45","slug":"06-16-%ed%95%98%ec%9d%b4%eb%b6%88%ec%8a%a4-%ed%8e%80%eb%93%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hibulls.com\/?p=8918","title":{"rendered":"[06.16] \ud558\uc774\ubd88\uc2a4 \ud380\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

6\uc6d4 FOMC\uac00 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub418\uc5c8\ub124\uc694. \uacb0\ub860\ubd80\ud130 \ub9d0\uc500\ub4dc\ub9ac\uc790\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uba70, ‘\uc790\uc774\uc5b8\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud15d’ \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc7ac\ub8cc \uc18c\uba78\ub85c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uae30\ub300\ud574\ubcfc\ub9cc\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ud2c0\uace0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud53c\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3\uc744 \ud655\uc2e0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ub098\uc640\uc57c \ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc544\ub798\ub294 6\uc6d4 FOMC \uc8fc\uc694 \ub0b4\uc6a9 \uc694\uc57d<\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
  1. 0.75% \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 75bp \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 = \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 1.5~1.75% \ubc94\uc704. 1994\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\ud3ed.<\/strong><\/li>
  2. \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub9d0 \ucd5c\uc885\uae08\ub9ac 3.4% \uc81c\uc2dc. <\/strong>3\uc6d4 1.9%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 1.5%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815. \uc774\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 1.75%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc608\uace0.<\/li>
  3. 2022\ub144 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 2.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 1.7%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815<\/strong>.<\/li>
  4. PCE\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \uc62c\ud574 4.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 5.2%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815.<\/strong> \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 4.3%\ub85c 4.1%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud5a5.<\/strong> 5\uc6d4 PCE\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 4.9%\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110<\/strong>.<\/li>
  5. 2023\ub144 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 2.6%\ub85c \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd.<\/strong> \uc774\ub294 3\uc6d4\uc758 2.7%\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud574 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc218\uc900.<\/li>
  6. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\ud55c \uc790\uc2e0\uac10\uc744 \ubcf4\uc784.<\/strong> \uace0\uc6a9\uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uacac\uace0\ud558\uace0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\ub3c4 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0ae\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \ud3ec\ud568\ub410\ub358 “\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\uc640 \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacac\uace0\ud560 \uac83.”\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubb38\uad6c\ub294 \uc0ad\uc81c.<\/li>
  7. \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2023\ub144 3.8%\ub85c \ucd5c\uace0\uac12\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac<\/strong>.<\/li>
  8. \uc591\uc801\uae34\ucd95\uc740 6\uc6d4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c\ub300\ub85c \ub9e4\uc6d4 475\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ucd95\uc18c\ud558\uace0 9\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \ucd5c\ub300 950\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd95\uc18c \uc720\uc9c0.<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n
    \n
    \"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

    \uc544\ub798\ub294 \uc624\ub298\uc790 \ud558\uc774\ubd88\uc2a4 \ud380\ub4dc \ud604\ud669<\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uaddc \ud3b8\uc785\/\ud3b8\ucd9c \uc885\ubaa9\uc740 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \ud604\uc7ac 27\uac1c \uc885\ubaa9\uc744 \ud3b8\uc785 \uc911\uc778\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud574 \uc8fc\uc2dd \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ucd5c\ub300\ud55c\uc73c\ub85c \ucc44\uc6b8 \uc608\uc815<\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc, \uadf8\ub807\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ud640\ub529 \uc885\ubaa9 \uc218\uac00 30\uac1c\ub97c \ub118\uae30\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\ub3c4\ub85d \ud560 \uacc4\ud68d<\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc5b4\ub290\uc815\ub3c4 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uba74, \ud380\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud3b8\ucd9c\ud560 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc77c\uc2e0\ubc29\uc9c1\uc744 \uace0\ub824 \uc911<\/span><\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uad00\ub828 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc740 6\uc6d4 10\uc77c \ud380\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5(https:\/\/hibulls.com\/?p=8474)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc124\uba85\ud574\ub4dc\ub9b0 \uc801 \uc788\uc73c\ub2c8, \ud655\uc778\ud558\uc2dc\uba74 \ub418\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    \uc544\ub798\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1\u00a0\uc544\uc9c1 \ud380\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ud3b8\uc785\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae30\uc874 \ud3b8\uc785 \uc885\ubaa9 \ud3b8\ucd9c \ub610\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc8fc\uac00) \uc870\uc815 \ubc1c\uc0dd, \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc801\uc808\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218 \uc790\ub9ac \ud3ec\ucc29 \uc2dc \uc5b8\uc81c\ub4e0 \ud3b8\uc785\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud6c4\ubcf4 \uc885\ubaa9\uad70<\/span><\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0\uc804\uc77c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud574\ub4dc\ub9b0 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ud654 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    • DDR5 \uc804\ud658 : \uc544\ube44\ucf54\uc804\uc790, ISC, \ud2f0\uc5d0\uc2a4\uc774<\/strong><\/span><\/li>
    • \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 OSAT : SFA\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4<\/strong><\/span><\/li>
    • \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc81c\uc870 : SK\ud558\uc774\ub2c9\uc2a4<\/strong><\/span><\/li>
    • \ud3f4\ub354\ube14\ud3f0 : KH\ubc14\ud14d<\/strong><\/span><\/li>
    • 2\ucc28\uc804\uc9c0 : SK\uc774\ub178\ubca0\uc774\uc158, \ud14c\uc774\ud329\uc2a4, TCC\uc2a4\ud2f8<\/strong><\/span><\/li>
    • \uae30\ud0c0 : \uc1a1\uc6d0\uc0b0\uc5c5, \ud32c\uc624\uc158<\/strong><\/span><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n
      \n
      \"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

      \uc544\ub798\ub294 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c\/\ucf54\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0 \ud604\ud669<\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0\uc77c \uae09\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uac1c\uc778\ud22c\uc790\uc790 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ud070 \ucf54\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0\uac00 \uba3c\uc800 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0\ub3c4 \ub0b4\ub824\uc62c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc5b4\uc81c\ub294 \uac1c\uc7a5 \uc804\ubd80\ud130 \uc7a5 \ub9c8\uac10\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc18\ub300\ub9e4\ub9e4\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d \ub098\uc654\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub7f0 \uac83\ub4e4\uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc5b4 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc880 \ub354 \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud55c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uac83 \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \"\"
      \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0(6\uac1c\uc6d4)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \"\"
      \ucf54\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc794\uace0(6\uac1c\uc6d4)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      \uc774\uc0c1\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac10\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      6\uc6d4 FOMC\uac00 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub418\uc5c8\ub124\uc694. \uacb0\ub860\ubd80\ud130 \ub9d0\uc500\ub4dc\ub9ac\uc790\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uba70, ‘\uc790\uc774\uc5b8\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud15d’ \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc7ac\ub8cc \uc18c\uba78\ub85c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uae30\ub300\ud574\ubcfc\ub9cc\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ud2c0\uace0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud53c\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3\uc744 \ud655\uc2e0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ub098\uc640\uc57c \ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\ub798\ub294 6\uc6d4 FOMC \uc8fc\uc694 \ub0b4\uc6a9 \uc694\uc57d\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 0.75% \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 75bp \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 = \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 1.5~1.75% \ubc94\uc704. 1994\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\ud3ed. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2745,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n[06.16] \ud558\uc774\ubd88\uc2a4 \ud380\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5 - \ud558\uc774\ubd88\uc2a4(Hi,Bulls)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/hibulls.com\/?p=8918\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"[06.16] \ud558\uc774\ubd88\uc2a4 \ud380\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5 - \ud558\uc774\ubd88\uc2a4(Hi,Bulls)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"6\uc6d4 FOMC\uac00 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub418\uc5c8\ub124\uc694. \uacb0\ub860\ubd80\ud130 \ub9d0\uc500\ub4dc\ub9ac\uc790\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uba70, ‘\uc790\uc774\uc5b8\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud15d’ \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc7ac\ub8cc \uc18c\uba78\ub85c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uae30\ub300\ud574\ubcfc\ub9cc\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ud2c0\uace0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud53c\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3\uc744 \ud655\uc2e0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ub098\uc640\uc57c \ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\ub798\ub294 6\uc6d4 FOMC \uc8fc\uc694 \ub0b4\uc6a9 \uc694\uc57d\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 0.75% \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 75bp \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 = \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 1.5~1.75% \ubc94\uc704. 1994\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\ud3ed. 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